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Section 06

TAM Analysis

Projections to CY30/CY35 Total Addressable Market across business verticals
$30.7T
Digital Payments TAM
CY30 projection
₹6.7T
Merchant Payments
CY30 TAM
₹139T
Retail Lending
CY30 outstanding
₹20.5T
Insurance Premium
CY30 TAM

Market Opportunity Overview

PhonePe operates across multiple large and rapidly growing TAMs in India's digital economy. The digital payments market is projected to reach $30.7 trillion by CY30, growing at 16% CAGR. Beyond payments, PhonePe has significant optionality in merchant acquiring (₹6.7T TAM), retail lending (₹139T outstanding by CY30), insurance distribution (₹20.5T premium by CY30), and wealth management (₹318T AUM by CY30). The Indus Appstore represents an additional call option on India's $45B mobile gaming and app economy.

Digital Payments TAM Evolution

Analyst View

UPI TPV: ₹246T in CY24 → ₹710T by CY30.

UPI CAGR: 19% (CY24-CY30).

Digital payments: 80% of total by CY30 (vs 66% today).

Merchant payments revenue: ₹6.7T TAM by CY30.

UPI TPV (₹T)
Digital Payments % of Total
Source: RBI, Redseer, Datum Analysis Get the data

Retail Lending Market Opportunity

Analyst View

Current retail credit: ₹75T outstanding.

CY30 projection: ₹139T (+13% CAGR).

Unsecured lending: ₹22T by CY30.

Digital lending share: 40%+ by CY30.

Source: RBI, Redseer Get the data

Insurance Market Opportunity

Analyst View

Current premium: ₹10T (CY24).

CY30 projection: ₹20.5T (+12% CAGR).

Digital distribution: 25% by CY30 (vs 8% today).

PhonePe Insurance Premium Lifetime to Date: ₹22.9B (Sep 2025).

Life Insurance
General Insurance
Health Insurance
Source: IRDAI, Redseer Get the data

Total Addressable Market Summary by Vertical

Vertical CY24 CY30 CAGR PhonePe Position
Digital Payments TPV $11.0T $30.7T 16% #1 (49.15% UPI share)
UPI TPV ₹246T ₹710T 19% Market Leader
Merchant Payments Revenue ₹2.5T ₹6.7T 18% 47.19M merchants
Retail Credit Outstanding ₹75T ₹139T 13% Emerging
Insurance Premium ₹10T ₹20.5T 12% ₹22.9B Premium Lifetime to Date
Mutual Fund AUM ₹68T ₹318T 29% ₹15.7B AUA
Broking Revenue Pool ₹0.35T ₹1.06T 20% Share.Market
Mobile App Distribution $15B $45B 20% Indus Appstore
Source: RBI, IRDAI, SEBI, Redseer, Datum Analysis Get the data

Key Growth Opportunities

Core Business

Payments & Merchant Acquiring

UPI continues to grow at 19% CAGR. Merchant payments revenue pool of ₹6.7T by CY30 with PhonePe's 47.19M merchant base.

₹710T
UPI TPV CY30
19%
CAGR
High Growth

Lending & Credit

Retail credit to reach ₹139T by CY30. PhonePe's transaction data enables credit underwriting for 'new-to-credit' users.

₹139T
Credit CY30
13%
CAGR
Emerging

Insurance Distribution

Insurance premium to double to ₹20.5T by CY30. Digital distribution to grow from 8% to 25% share.

₹20.5T
Premium CY30
12%
CAGR
Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, trading advice, or any other sort of advice. The information provided should not be relied upon for making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.